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Recent trends in EU policy-making

Based on the updated version of the EUPOL dataset, which includes information up to and including 2011, I had a look at the European Commission’s recent policy-making activities (the underlying numbers, a few more graphs, and the do-files generating them can be found here). In general, the data point to a substantial increase in the number of documents submitted by the Commission last year as compared to 2010. With respect to non-binding policy documents, the increase is mainly due to the larger number of working papers submitted (up from 64 to 107), while the number of communications (up from 141 to 145) and reports (down from 165 to 159) remained largely stable (see Figure 1).

Figure 1: Number of non-binding policy documents by type of file (1976-2011)

With respect to legislative proposals, proposals for all types of acts have increased considerably in relative terms: the number of proposals for decisions almost doubled (up from 9 to 16), the number of directives increased by more than half (up from 30 to 46), and the number of regulations by about two thirds (up from 77 to 128). In absolute terms, the increase in the number of proposals for regulations was clearly by far the highest (see Figure 2).

Figure 2: Number of legislative proposals by type of file (1976-2011)

Not surprisingly, given the extension of the applicability of the codecision procedure to almost all policy areas by the Lisbon treaty, the overwhelming majority of legislative proposals in 2011 was processed through this procedure (now officially called the 'ordinary legislative procedure'). The number of codecision files increased from 108 in 2010 to 168 in 2011 and the number of consultation files increased from 8 to 22. Despite this growth, the latter number is still much lower than the 2009 number of consultation files of 98. However, the number of consultation files pre- and post-Lisbon might not be directly comparable. Over the last three years, PreLex indicates an increasing number of proposals that are submitted under a new ‘inter-institutional non-legislative procedure’ (more than 500 proposals already). According to a Kosmopolito blog post, this ‘NLE’ category covers all procedures that involve the EP but do not fall under the ordinary or special legislative procedures (i.e. the old assent and consultation procedures). Since no explicit distinction between legislative and non-legislative acts existed before the Lisbon treaty came into force, I would not be surprised if some of the files now classified as being decided through the non-legislative procedure used to be classifed as being decided through the consultation procedure. Any comments or insights shedding some light on this question would be very welcome.

Number of legislative proposals by type of procedure (1976-2011)

Figure 3: Number of legislative proposals by type of procedure (1976-2011)

All in all, the number of legislative proposals introduced by the Commission seems to have rebounded from all-time lows in 2009 and 2010. The relative inactivity in terms of legislative proposals might have had something to do with the uncertainty surrounding the entry into force of the Lisbon treaty and/or subsequent adjustments to the new rule book. It will be interesting to see whether the strong increase in 2011 marks the start of a more ambitious legislative programme for the remaining term of the second Barroso Commission. 

EUPOL dataset updated to 2011

The third version of the EUPOL dataset covers the time period up to and including the year 2011. To ensure the smooth extraction of the information from the PreLex webpages, I had to make minor changes to the python extraction script (the two changes are documented in the script). Both the updated dataset and the updated Python scripts are available for download from the EUPOL page. I will also update the Excel file with descriptive statistics and graphs soon and discuss interesting developments in a future blog post.

Citation statistics on Google Scholar author profile

A list of publications with citation statistics is now available on my Google Scholar author profile.

Chance-corrected measures of foreign policy similarity for EUGene

The dataset of chance-corrected measures of foreign policy similarity as described in the Political Analysis article 'Choice or Circumstance? Adjusting Measures of Foreign Policy Similarity for Chance Agreement' can now be integrated into Bennett and Stam's data management software EUGene. To incorporate the dataset as 'user data', download the EUGene configuration file and the dataset in CSV format from the FPSIM page and save it into the local "user data sets" subdirectory (normally "c:\program files\eugene\user data sets").

EUPOL dataset description published in European Union Politics

The description of the 'European Union Policy-Making dataset' (EUPOL) has been published as a forum article in European Union Politics. The supporting information in the online appendix and the full replication archive for the data manipulations and analyses reported in the article can be accessed here. An updated version of the EUPOL dataset can be downloaded here.

Updated version of EUPOL dataset available

A new version of the European Policy-Making (EUPOL) dataset is now available. Version 2 of EUPOL includes all decision-making processes documented in the Commission's PreLex database as of 7 May 2011. Thus, the new version adds information for about one more year. Some summary statistics of the dataset are available here.

Biology and Political Science panel at ECPR conference

Together with Dimiter Toshkov (Leiden University), I organised and chaired a panel on Biology and Political Science at this year's ECPR conference in Reykjavik. Some of the presented papers are available for download here

Panel abstract
Recent years have seen a growing cross-fertilization between the natural and social sciences. The increasing convergence of conceptual, theoretical, and methodological toolkits (e.g. network analysis, game theory, and statistical models) fosters the generation of such interdisciplinary insights. This panel is devoted to work that crosses the disciplinary boundaries between biology and political science; either by applying biological theories and methods to political science problems or by applying political theories and methods to topics in biology. Examples of such work include, but are not limited to, the following topics: Population ecology approaches to the study of political institutions and organizations; evolutionary dynamics of the diffusion of policies and ideas; genetic effects on political attitudes; evolutionary causes of international and domestic conflict; collective decision-making in animal groups; development and maintenance of social institutions in animal groups; evolution of cooperation and conflict in general.

Papers and authors

  • Evolutionary Institutionalism – Evolutionary Concepts in Institutional Analysis
    Cathleen  BOCHMANN (Dresden University of Technology)
  • From Cells to States: A Unifying Framework of Social Relativity
    Shade  SHUTTERS (Arizona State University)
    Matus  HALAS (Charles University)
  • Independence and Interdependence: Lessons from the Hive
    Christian  LIST (London School of Economics and Political Science)
    Adrian  VERMEULE (Harvard University)
  • The Physiological Basis of Political Temperaments
    John  HIBBING (University of Nebraska - Lincoln)
    John  ALFORD (Rice University)
    Kevin  SMITH (University of Nebraska - Lincoln)
  • Understanding Emotional Priming Effects through Psychophysiology
    Peter  FOLEY (California Institute of Technology)
    R. Michael  ALVAREZ (California Institute of Technology)
     Ralph  ADOLPHS (California Institute of Technology)
  • Do Psychological Traits Mediate the Relationship Between Genes and Political Participation? (tabled paper)
    Christopher  DAWES (University of California - San Diego)

Presentation of agent-based model of decision-making duration at ECPR conference

I presented a paper on 'The Duration of Multilateral Negotiations in the Council of the European Union' at this year's ECPR General Conference in Reykjavik (25-27 August). The paper formed part of the Computer Simulation and Agent Based Modelling in Political Science panel. The mainly theoretical paper describes an agent-based model of coalition-building that allows the generation of direct hypotheses about the effects of preference configurations, impatience levels, and group size on decision-making duration. The presentation and paper is available here.

Measurement article published in Political Analysis

My article on 'Choice or Circumstance? Adjusting Measures of Foreign Policy Similarity for Chance Agreement' has now been published in Political Analysis. Political Analysis is a leading methodology journal with the highest five-year ISI impact factor in Political Science. The article is available here.

A replication archive and datasets including all measures of foreign policy similarity discussed in the paper are available on the Measures of Foreign Policy Similarity (FPSIM) page. 

Measurement article in Political Analysis available online now

My article on 'Choice or Circumstance? Adjusting Measures of Foreign Policy Similarity for Chance Agreement' is now available as online pre-publication on the website of Political Analysis

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